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Wow, pretty shocking.
Plenty of time left until election day, including an "October surprise", but still.......
http://www.gallup.com/poll/142718/GOP-Unprecedented-Lead-Generic-Ballot.aspx
Columbus Underground Messageboard » General Columbus Discussion » Politics
GOP Takes Unprecedented 10-Point Lead on Generic Ballot
[12 posts] [10 contributors]
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RoundTowner
Miranova
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cbuster
Old North Columbus
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...and now they're tied at 46;
http://www.gallup.com/poll/142892/Parties-Tied-Generic-Ballot.aspx
Posted 1 year ago # -
GreatOutdoors
Short North
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"...and now they're tied at 46;"
Will BG title the next post "GOP has unprecedented 10-pt. drop in support in one week"?
These polls are all over the map, anyways, but perhaps voters were flirting with the idea of voting Republican to register general discontentment, but then taking a step back once they realized what the consequences of that action would entail. Rus' comment is somewhat relevant to this idea -- unfortunately in our current 2-choice system, what do you do when both choices suck, and neither seems really focused on serving the public interest?
Posted 1 year ago # -
somertimeoh
Harrison West
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Isn't this method of polling public opinion pretty outdated anyway? How often do you answer an unknown # on your cell phone and who has a landline anymore? I just think you culturally (and therefor politically) skew your sample when you have to rely on technology that is becoming less and less relevant.
Posted 1 year ago # -
berdawn
near that stretch of N. High Street in the Short North
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The generic ballots are not very informative to what may actually happen on election day. I think Nevada and Florida are good examples of why the local situation is way more important than any national opinion trend.
Posted 1 year ago # -
Rockmastermike
CORNspiracy HQ
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Agreed. The polls before at least mid October are useless except that they give cheerleaders from both sides, and a press too lazy to do actual journalism, something to talk about.
Also, the variance of 10 points (latest polls show "tied", previously was 10 pts different) is actually almost within the ~5% margin of error of the polls themselves, a margin which even farther reinforces the utter uselessness of such a general questionnaire to draw ANY actual conclusions.
A more interesting (to me anyway) poll is the dispatch poll (presented monday: http://www.dispatch.com/live/content/local_news/stories/2010/09/06/ohioans-want-budget-answers--now.html?sid=101&print=yes ) showing (among other interesting things) that EVERYONE wants the candidates to present some actual plans to fix the state budget instead of the, pardon my french, lame-ass bullshit that both major candidates are spewing.
Posted 1 year ago # -
hugh59
Aboard the ultimate power in Olde Towne East
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Rockmastermike is right, the 10% swing is only just outside of the margin of error. One or both of those polls could be outliers.
I noticed that the report said that the GOP maintained 25-Point lead on enthusiasm. They are probably more enthusiastic about turning out to vote to stop the current one party rule than the Democrats are at turning out to save it.
Still, it is early. There is plenty of time for events to change the situation. Also, there are local factors in each race that will not be picked up in a generic ballot poll.
Posted 1 year ago # -
jimbach
Short North (WP division)
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berdawn wrote >>
The generic ballots are not very informative to what may actually happen on election day.Actually, they are quite useful:
http://www.themonkeycage.org/2010/08/political_consultants_vs_polit.html
Posted 1 year ago # -
berdawn
near that stretch of N. High Street in the Short North
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jimbach wrote >>
berdawn wrote >>
The generic ballots are not very informative to what may actually happen on election day.Actually, they are quite useful:
http://www.themonkeycage.org/2010/08/political_consultants_vs_polit.htmlWhich explains how Reid is tied with Angle, exactly? Or why Crist is holding up well?
Posted 1 year ago #
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