ADVERTISEMENT

    Clinton’s Lead Widens over Trump After First Debate

    According to the latest polling data, presidential candidate Hillary Clinton has managed to regain a strong lead over her rival Donald Trump in the six days following the first head-to-head debate between the two. Aggregate information analysis site FiveThirtyEight shows that Clinton’s chances of winning have jumped from 54.8 percent on September 26th to 72.8 percent as of today.

    ADVERTISEMENT

    The polling decline for Trump can likely be chalked up to a series of missteps made over the past week, including an underwhelming performance at the debate, a renewed string of attacks on former Miss Universe Alicia Machado, and a revelation that Trump has reportedly dodged paying income tax for nearly two decades.

    “Here’s what we know: Hillary Clinton is leading in the race for president, and she’s made meaningful gains since last week’s presidential debate,” stated FiveThirtyEight founder Nate Silver in an update published yesterday. “Out of 20 post-debate polls in swing states, she’s led in 18, trailed in only one and was tied in one other. Overall, the post-debate polls look a lot like the results that President Obama had against Mitt Romney in the 2012 election, although with Ohio and North Carolina flipping sides.”

    Here in Ohio, Trump maintains a lead, although it has also narrowed over the past week. On September 26th, his likelyhood of winning Ohio was forecast at 62 percent by FiveThirtyEight, while today it only stands at a 51.5 percent chance. That represents only a 0.1 percent lead in current projected vote share.

    For more information, visit projects.fivethirtyeight.com/2016-election-forecast/.

    clinton-trump

    ADVERTISEMENT

    Subscribe

    More to Explore:

    The Confluence Cast: Downtown with Michael Brown

    We're exploring the evolution of downtown with Michael Brown, who has been a cornerstone in the city's development planning and worked both in and outside city government to cheer on its growth. Columbus Underground editor Walker Evans and Mike delve into the city's challenges and triumphs, the synergy between projects, the balance between iconic and neighborhood-level public art investments, and the concerted efforts to address systemic issues like homelessness and affordable housing. Through anecdotes and insights, they highlight Columbus's young, creative energy and the dynamic urban policies that continue to drive its growth.

    Wave of Ohio Zoomers Registering to Vote This November

    More than 48,600 18-year-olds are registered to vote in Ohio as of Jan. 6 — a 35% increase compared to late August, according to data analyzed by the Civics Center, a nonpartisan organization trying to increase voter registration.

    The Confluence Cast: News in the New Year

    As we ease into 2024, we’re taking a quick look back into some happenings that you may have missed as the year turned over. Columbus Underground co-founder and editor Walker Evans discusses a myriad of stories, including the latest in transportation, climate change, local politics, and a dash of comedy here in the capital city.

    The Confluence Cast: Year in Review

    As 2023 draws to a close and we stand on the brink of a new year filled with its own stories and surprises, it’s a time for reflection. In our latest podcast episode, we delve into a retrospective journey, revisiting the moments that defined the year for us. Join Walker Evans, Susan Post, and myself as we engage in a lively discussion about the most impactful, intriguing, and talked-about local stories that have unfolded over the past 365 days.

    Anti-Gerrymandering Amendment Could Go in Front of Ohio Voters in 2024

    After the Ohio Supreme Court put a damper on efforts to challenge the current Statehouse redistricting plan, anti-gerrymandering advocates are moving on, with their sights on redistricting reform via the ballot box.
    Walker Evans
    Walker Evanshttps://columbusunderground.com
    Walker Evans is the co-founder of Columbus Underground, along with his wife and business partner Anne Evans. Walker has turned local media into a full time career over the past decade and serves on multiple boards and committees throughout the community.
    ADVERTISEMENT